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Showing posts with label Feyerabend. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Feyerabend. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

A further note on falsificationism


This note is spurred by some points made by Alex Clark (here):

Every scientific theory aims for truth. This is not the exclusive goal of falsificationism. However, finite beings that we are we cannot gaze directly at a theory and see if it is true or not. Hence we look for marks or signature properties of truth and falsity. Falsificationism puts great weight on one of these features and lesser weight on others. The first virtue, and not first among equals, is "getting the facts right." Non-naive falsificationists (e.g. Lakatos) then gussy this all up to the point that the method turns out to be "do the best you can realizing that it's a complex mess." This, of course, is a nice version of Feyerabend's "anything goes" but said more politely. I personally like Percy Bridgeman's version: "use your noodle and no holds bared." The net effect of these methodological nostrums is to make them impossible to apply qua method for there is nothing methodical about them. Given the (apparently) insatiable desire for mechanistic answers to complex issues, people fall back onto "covering the data" as the best applicable proxy. And this is where the problem arises.

The problem is two fold: (i) what the relevant data are is not self evident, (ii) this leads to ignoring all the stuff that makes the non-naïve approaches non-naïve. So, in practice, what we get is a ham handed application of the sophisticated views that, in practice, is just our old friend naïve falsificationism.

Let me say a quick word about (i).  Naivety often begins with a robust sense of what the data is.  As the sophisticates know, this is hardly self-evident. So take an example close to the home of some: does Kobele’s work demonstrate once and for all that natural language grammars are not mildly context sensitive because they fail to display constant growth? I have not witnessed mass recantations of the MCS view from my computational colleagues. No, what I have seen is attempts (actually more often hopes that some attempts would be forthcoming) to reanalyze the morphological and syntactic data (pronounced copies) so that it is defanged. 

Let me add that I am entirely sympathetic to this effort in principle. It’s what we do all the time and it is one way that we try to protect our favored accounts.  We do this not (merely) out of a misplaced love of our own creations (but who doesn’t love her own mental products?) but because often our favorite theories have EO that would be lost were it rendered false. Moreover, the more that would be lost the more rational it is to ask for a high level of proof before we give up on the old theory, and even then we will demand of the replacement that it get the previous theories successes right (usually as limit cases). 

My main point has been that we should extend a similar set of considerations to theories with high EO/low BI.  But in order to do this we must try to keep firmly in mind what the central targets of explanation are. This is why Plato’s and Darwin’s problems are so important. Yes, they are vague and need precisfication. But they are not powerless and can be used to evaluate proposals. They, in other words, provide a second axis of evaluation in addition to “data coverage” for theory evaluation.

Two last points: First, there are other factors in addition to the two mooted above that serve as marks of truth: simplicity, elegance, Occamite stuff, etc.  These have served to advance thinking and are very hard to make precise, hence the injunction to “use your noodle.” Second, arguments gain in persuasiveness the more local they are.  These dicta, though very vague in the abstract are remarkably clear when applied in local circumstances, at least most of the time.  As Alex Drummond has repeatedly noted: it’s often all too easy to recognize a counter-example/bit of recalcitrant relevant data when it comes flying your way. Same with EO, elegance, etc.  In particular contexts, these high-flying notions get tied down and can become useful. The aim of lots of theoretical work is to figure out how to do this. However, not surprisingly, this is more art than technique, and hence the disagreements about what factor should weigh most heavily in deciding which way to turn. My view, is that in this hubbub we should not loose sight of the animating problems and discount them in favor of what is more easily at hand. Further, in my view, this is precisely what falsificationism encourages.

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Patterns, Patternings and Learning: a not so short ramble on Empiricism and Rationalism


As readers may have noticed (even my mother has noticed!), I am very fond of Poverty of Stimulus arguments (POS). Executed well, POSs generate slews of plausible candidate structures for FL/UG. Given my delight in these, I have always wondered why it is that many other otherwise intelligent looking/sounding people don’t find them nearly as suggestive/convincing as I do. It could be that they are not nearly as acute as they appear (unlikely), or it could be that I am wrong (inconceivable!), or it could be that discussants are failing to notice where the differences lie. I would like to explore this last possibility by describing two different senses of pattern, one congenial to an empiricist mind set, and one not so much. This is not, I suspect, a conscious conviction and so highlighting it may allow for a clearer understanding of where disagreement lies, even if it does not lead to a Kumbaya resolution of differences.  Here goes.

The point I want to make rests on a cute thought experiment suggested by an observation by David Berlinski in his very funny, highly readable and strongly recommended (especially with those who got off on Feyerabend’s jazz style writing in AgainstMethod) book Black Mischief.  Berlinski discusses two kinds of patterns. The first is illustrated in the following non-terminating decimal expansions:

1.     (a) .222222…
(b) .333333…
(c) .454545…
(d) .123412341234…

If asked to continue into the … range, a normal person (i.e. a college undergrad, the canonical psych subject and the only person buyable with a few “extra” credits, i.e. cheap) would continue (1a) with more 2s, (1c) with more 3s (1c) with 45s and (1d) with 1234s.  Why, because the average person would detect the indicated pattern and generalize as indicated.  People are good at detecting patterns of this sort. Hume discussed this kind of pattern recognition behavior, as have empiricists ever since. What the examples in (1) illustrate is constant conjunction, and this leads to a simple pattern that humans have little trouble extracting, (at least in the simple cases[1]).

Now as we all know, this will not get us great results for examples like (2).

2.     (a) .141592653589793…
(b) .718281828459045…

The cognoscenti will have recognized (2a) as the decimal part of the decimal expansion of π (15 first digits) and (2b) as the decimal part of the decimal expansion of e (15 first digits). If our all purpose undergrad were asked to continue the series he would have a lot of trouble doing so (Don’t take my word for it. Try the next three digits[2]). Why? Because these decimal expansions don’t display a regular pattern as they have none. That’s what makes these numbers irrational in contrast with the rational numbers in (1).  However, and this is important, the fact that they don’t display a pattern does not mean that it is impossible to generate the decimal expansions in (2). It is possible and there are well known algorithms for doing so (as we display anon). However, though there are generative procedures for calculating the decimal expansions of π and e, these procedures differ from the ones underlying (1) in that the products of the procedures don’t exhibit a perceptible pattern. The patterns, we might say, contrast in that the patterns in (1) carry the procedures for generating them in their patterning (Add 2,3, 45, 1234, to the end), while this is not so for the examples in (2). Put crudely, constant conjunction and association exercised on the patterning of 2s in (1a) lead to the rule ‘keep adding 2’ as the rule for generating (1a), while inspecting the patterning of digits in (2a) suggests nothing whatsoever about the rule that generates it (e.g. (3a)).  And this, I believe, is an important conceptual fault line separating empiricists from rationalists. For empiricists, the paradigm case of a generative procedure is intimately related to the observable patternings generated while Rationalists have generally eschewed any “resemblance” between the generative procedure and the objects generated. Let me explain.

As Chomsky has repeatedly correctly insisted, everybody assumes that learners come to the task of language acquisition with biases.  This just means that everyone agrees that what is acquired is not a list, but a procedure that allows for unbounded extension of the given (finite) examples in determinate ways. Thus, everyone (viz. both empiricists and rationalists (thus, both Chomsky and his critics)) agrees that the aim is to specify what biases a learner brings to the acquisition task. The difference lies in the nature of the biases each is willing to consider. Empiricists are happy with biases that allow for the filtering of patterns from data.[3] Their leading idea is that data reveals patterns and that learning amounts to finding these in the data. In other words, they picture the problem of learning as roughly illustrated by the example in (1).  Rationalists agree that this kind of learning exists,[4] but that there are learning problems akin to that illustrated (2). And that this kind of learning demands departure from algorithms that look for “simple” patternings of data. In fact, it requires something like a pre-specification of the possible  generative procedures. Here’s what I mean.

Consider learning the digital expansion of π. It’s possible to “learn” that some digital sequence is that of π by sampling the data (i.e. the digits) if, for example, one is biased to consider only a finite number of pre-specified procedures.  Concretely, say I am given the generative procedures in (3a) and (3b) and am shown the digits in (2a). Could I discover how to continue the sequence so armed? Of course. I could quickly come to “know” that (2a) is the right generative procedure and so I could continue adding to the … as desired. (Excuse 'infinity' below. Blogspot doesn't like the infinity sideways 8)

3 (a)
         infinity                     infinity
π = 2   ∑      k!/(2k+1)!! = 2 ∑ 2k k!2/ (2k+1)! = 2 [ 1+ 1/3 (1 + 2/5 (1 + 3/7 ( 1 +…)))]
          k=0                             k=0   

(b) e = lim (1+1/n)n = 1 + 1/1! + 1/2! + 1/3! + ...
           nà infinity

How would I come to know this? By plugging several values for k, n into (3a,b) and seeing what pops out. (3a) will spit out the sequence in (2a) and (3b) that of (2b). These generative procedures will diverge very quickly. Indeed the first computed digit renders us confident that asked to choose (3a) or (3b) given the data in (2a), (3a) is an easy choice.  The moral: even if there are no patterns in the data learning is possible if the range of relevant choices is sufficiently articulated and bounded. 

This is just a thought experiment, but I think that it highlights several features of importance. First, that everyone is knee deep in given biases, aka: innate, given modes of generalizations.  The question is not whether these exist but what they are. Empiricists, from the Rationalist point of view, unduly restrict the admissible biases to those constructed to find patterns in the data.  Second, that even in the absence of patterned data, learning is possible if we consider it as a choice among given hypotheses. Structured hypothesis spaces allow one to find generative procedures whose products display no obvious patterns. Bayesians, by the way, should be happy with this last point as nothing in their methods restricts what’s in the hypothesis space. Bayes instructs us how to navigate the space given input data. IT has nothing to say about what’s in the space of options to begin with. Consequently there is no a priori reason for restricting it to some functions rather than others. The matter, in other words is entirely empirical. Last, it pays to ask whether for any problem of interest it is more like that illustrated in (1) or in (2). One way of understanding Chomsky’s point is that when we understand what we want to explain, i.e. that linguistic competence amounts to a mastery of “constrained homophony” over an unbounded domain of linguistic objects (see here), then the problem looks much more like that in (2) than in (1), viz. there are very few (1) type patterns in the data when you look closely and there are even fewer when the nature of the PLD is considered.  In other words, Chomsky’s bet (and on this I think he is exactly right) is that the logical problem of language acquisition looks much more like (2) than like (1).

A historical aside: Here, Cartwright provides the ingredients for a nice reconstructed history. Putting more than a few words in her mouth, it would go something like this:

In the beginning there was Aristotle. For him minds could form concepts/identify substances from observation of the elements that instanced them (you learn ‘tiger’ by inspecting tigers, tiger-patterns lead to ‘tiger’ concepts/extracted tiger-substances). The 17th century dumped Aristotle’s epistemology and metaphysics. One strain rejected the substances and substituted the patterns visible to the naked eye (there is no concept/substance ‘tiger’ just some perceptible tiger patternings). This grew up to become Empiricism. The second, retained the idea of concepts/substances but gave up the idea that these were necessarily manifest in visible surface properties of experience (so ‘tiger’ may be triggered by tigers but the concept contains a whole lot more than what was provided in experience, even what was provided in the patternings).  This view grew up to be Rationalism. Empiricists rejected the idea that conceptual contents contain more than meets the eye. Rationalists gave up the idea the content of concepts are exhausted by what meets the eye.

Interestingly, this discussion persists. See for example Marr’s critique of Gibsonian theories of visual perception here. In sum, the idea that learning is restricted to patterns extractable from experience, though wrong, has a long and venerable pedigree. So too the Rationalist alternative. A rule of thumb: for every Aristotle there is a corresponding Plato (and, of course, vice versa).


[1] There is surely a bound to this. Consider a decimal expansion whose period are sequences of 2,500 digits. This would likely be hard to spot and the wonders of “constant” conjunction would likely be much less apparent.
[2] Answer: for π: 2,3,8 and for e: 2,3,5.
[3] Hence the ton of work done on categorization, categorization of prior categorizations, categorization of prior categorizations of prior categorizations…
[4] Or may exist. Whether it does is likely more complicated than usually assumed as Randy Gallistel’s work has shown. If Randy is right, then even the parade cases for associationism are considerably less empiricist than often assumed.